Posts Tagged ‘economy’

Real Plan

In third place, it was proceeded the analysis from the neoliberalismo, the globalization, the most varied the Real Plan and the unemployment under current of thought not only economic, but also under the prism of too much social sciences. Through the diverse theoretical lines examined here, one evidenced that the neoliberalismo is so exculpatory how much to the proper process of globalization and, as the Real Plan was constituted from these two boardings of reconstruction of the underdeveloped economies, became equally exculpatory it, pricnpalmente when exclusion is measured under the unemployment form. However, the question most important now is to verify if these the economic processes of we neoliberalimos and globalization poderm to be reverted or not, or if at least they can be modified. To this respect, the quarrel is not tame and pacific, it has infitas controversies on the subject. For some authors, such processes do not have more return, already they are installed and consolidated in the seio of the developed and underdeveloped nations. They are the calls ' ' globalistas' '. For other analysts, in such a way the neoliberalismo as the globalization can completely be reverted, needing for this great efforts mobilization the civil society in search alternatives regional development locale, opposing it everything how much it is global.

They are the calls ' ' cticos' '. Finally, those exist that believe that, although eses processes not to have more return, still is possible to make some adaptations to the estimated ones of the neoliberalismo and the globalization, conciliating the global actions with the local actions. They are the defending calls of the model ' ' glocal' '. Along with everything what if it asseverou preceding, it can be affirmed that the neoliberalismo even so contests to that if it questions on the capitalist system of production, much the evidences concerning the social exclusion that it has caused they cannot be denied and nor hidden.

General Regimen

Arajo (2008) finishes saying that the purpose of the beginning of the isonomy is to deliver to the judgement of igualitria form to all the jurisdicionados ones, excusing when necessary different different treatment to the e, equal treatment, in the terms of the law, to the equal ones in conditions. 3.4.1 Relation between the previdencirio factor and the beginning of the isonomy the sprouting of the law n 9,876, of 26 of November of 1999, that it instituted the previdencirio factor compelled that many of its insurers in such a way continued working and contributing for the social welfare. Although the intention to make with that the workers were available to the market for a bigger time, and of this form to guarantee atuarial balance of the Providence, is not what it sees, since many retire exactly with the reduced wages, either for not to have more conditions to work, or simply because already they had fulfilled the requirements to acquire the retirement and opt to it, exactly with reduced revenues. In accordance with Arajo (2008, P. 32-33): The existing relation between the previdencirio factor and the beginning of the isonomy, is in the fact to that with application of the related factor people in isonomy of conditions they will be dealt with different form being born to the unconstitutionality of the substance, therefore Law N. 9,876/99 when instituting the previdencirio factor, is giving to differentiated treatments the accurately equal people, in total disagreement with the Brazilian constitution. Therefore if a person starts to contribute for the General Regimen of the Social welfare? RGPS, before another one, being the only difference the age, for consequncia its supervened expectation of will diminish the benefit of the person who started to contribute with lesser age. Ahead of the displayed one, Gonalves (2000: P. 60) places that ' ' it is visualized initially that those will have to be benefited of if retiring later, and losing the ones that if to retire cedo&#039 more; '.

Statistical Summary

The statistics of Ljung-Box, it is a statistical test of null hypothesis of autocorrelao absence. Thus, if for all imbalance the statistics, we can consider that the residues if hold as white noise and that, therefore, the adjusted model is adjusted. In case that the model is not adjusted, the cycle is repeated, turning it the identification phase. A procedure very used is to identify not alone an only model, but some models that then will be esteem and verified. When if it gets a satisfactory model, is transferred to the last stage of the methodology of Box-Jenkins, that constitutes the main objective of the methodology: to carry through forecasts. 2.2.2.Critrio of Validation According to Russian (2002), one of the criteria very used to choose optimum model is the criterion of Percentile Error Absolute Medium of Previso (MAPE). The MAPE is calculated from forecasts a step to the front generated for each esteem model.

Where it is the observed value of the series, foreseen value it is the number of forecasts. 3. Anlise and Discurso of the Data Table 1 presents the Statistical Summary of the Costs of the Basic Basket, in Reals (R$), Commercialized in the City of Belm of Par of January of 2005 the December of 2009. In it, it is verified that throughout this period, the monthly average cost of the basic basket was of R$ 174,66 with variability around the average cost of R$ 23,49. Table 1: Statistical summary of the Costs of the Basic Basket, in Reals (R$), Commercialized in the City of Belm of Par of January of 2005 the December of 2009. Measures Average value 174,66 Medium 165,14 Shunting line Standard 23,49 as the average cost is greater that the medium cost, can be said that the series presents positive asymmetry.